MAY 1 CONSTRUCTION SPENDING 
 May 1, 2008

Nonresidential Construction Spending Remains Resilient

Oct
07
Nov
07
Dec 
07
Jan 
07
Feb 
08
Mar 
08
Construction Spending (trillions) $1.16$1.16$1.14$1.13$1.14$1.12

Summary

Despite ongoing travails within the residential construction industry, nonresidential construction spending has risen nearly 12 percent over the past year and was up 1.3 percent in March.  This, according to the May 1 U.S. Department of Commerce construction spending report. The estimates were determined on a monthly, seasonally-adjusted basis.  

Of the16 reported nonresidential sectors, 14 produced year-over-year spending gains, with the largest growth in office (39.6 percent), manufacturing (30.8 percent) and public safety (26.7 percent).  As was the case last month, two nonresidential segments experienced reduced construction spending activity over the past 12 months.  These were religious construction (down 15 percent) and water supply construction (down 9.8 percent).  On a monthly basis, 12 of 16 nonresidential subsectors reported increased spending.  

Total construction spending, both nonresidential and residential, was $1.124 trillion in March on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis.  This represents a 1.1 percent decline from a month earlier and a 3.4 percent fall from March 2007.  As has been the case in recent months, the decline in construction spending is explained more than fully by America’s faltering residential sector, in which spending declined 19.7 percent over the past 12 months. 
What This Means

According to Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC), the long-predicted decline in nonresidential construction has yet to occur with the sector still maintaining a degree of momentum.  That said, nonresidential construction spending growth has flattened considerably in recent months, and if credit market issues continue to roil the broader economy and the broader economy continues to weaken, the industry will likely have to deal with stagnant revenues or worse over the next quarter and beyond.  

Given the increasingly difficult lending environment in conjunction with an economy that has been expanding at less than a 1 percent rate, ABC predicts that the peak of the nonresidential construction spending cycle is approaching and that future data will likely reflect lower nonresidential construction spending heading to the year’s end.


Total Nonresidential Construction Spending
 

 

For more information, contact Gerry Fritz, fritz@abc.org


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